Aldea Zama is the master-planned bell-curve case — 1,253 establishments in a gated community development, 60% hospitality concentration, sophistication 77.9. Mid-cycle: 24 permanent closures led by specialty F&B (SOUK Kitchen, Bella Roma, Tulum Tacos) and short-stay rentals. The 20-35% price run from 2022 has cooled; condo segment correcting 10-15%.
The strongest historical comparable in our dataset. When the matched snapshot is older, the comparable's path projects Aldea Zama's likely direction.
How Aldea Zama's current state translates into a position for each stakeholder. Decision anchors grounded in the zone's data + Tulum market context — not financial advice.
What's exiting the zone, and the rate at which capital is rotating out — the inverse signal of new openings.